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如果美国用核武器攻击伊朗会发生什么?
2020-01-30 墨点er 3 收藏 纠错&举报
原文标题:What would happen if USA nuked Iran?
原文地址:https://www.quora.com/What-would-happen-if-USA-nuked-Iran
译文简介:北约将正式解散。 加拿大、法国、德国、意大利、西班牙、土耳其和其他国家根本不可能容忍这种对数百万人的大规模屠杀。 (我的意思是,好吧,美国可以用核武器摧毁无人居住的山谷或其他地方——但为什么要这样做呢?) 各式各样的“其他国家”将会解散它们与美国的联盟,而最有可能首先采取行动的将是日本。 不管你认为二战是如何结束的,日本公众都会对这种单边行动感到震惊。 
Dan Holliday,住在美国 
I think this would happen:
Neither Russia nor China would do anything. In fact, the core elite leaders would cackle with glee at what would happen for their stock if the US unilaterally nuked a weaker nation without being nuked first.
NATO would be officially dissolved. There is simply no way Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Turkey and others would tolerate this enormously egregious slaughter of millions of human beings. (I mean, fine, the US could nuke an uninhabited mountain valley or something—but why would it do that?)
The sundry “other nations” would dissolve their alliances with the US and most likely it would be Japan that acted first. Regardless of what you may think of how WWII ended, the Japanese public would be appalled by such a unilateral action.
The US would thereafter be greatly isolated from its wider global community.
With any realistic strike at Iran (a major city), you’d have a collapse of the local structure of government possibly the government in Tehran, leading to wider social upheaval.
If that happened, then there’d be millions MORE refugees flooding towards Europe and trampling across the Mideast including Turkey.Wider regional disruption leading to starvation and collapse.The EU solidifies more and signs a more unified treaty (if not expanding the EU’s military powers) to deal with the loss of the US and the growing threat of Russia and mass migration.
The US is left with only a few friends who remain forever suspicious of the US: Israel; maybe Canada, the UK and Australia in some resettling of the world order; Saudi Arabia. I can’t think of anybody else.

我认为以下事件将会发生: 
俄罗斯和中国都不会采取任何行动。 事实上,如果美国单方面在不首先被核打击的情况下,对一个弱小国家实施核打击,核心精英领导人会对自己的股票会发生什么而幸灾乐祸。 
北约将正式解散。 加拿大、法国、德国、意大利、西班牙、土耳其和其他国家根本不可能容忍这种对数百万人的大规模屠杀。 (我的意思是,好吧,美国可以用核武器摧毁无人居住的山谷或其他地方——但为什么要这样做呢?) 
各式各样的“其他国家”将会解散它们与美国的联盟,而最有可能首先采取行动的将是日本。 不管你认为二战是如何结束的,日本公众都会对这种单边行动感到震惊。 
此后,美国在很大程度上将被孤立于更广泛的国际社会之外。 
如果对伊朗(一个主要城市)进行任何现实的打击的话,你会看到当地德黑兰政府结构的崩溃,可能会导致更广泛的社会动荡。 
如果发生这种情况,将会有数百万难民涌入欧洲,践踏包括土耳其在内的中东地区。 
更广泛的地区混乱将会导致饥荒和国家的崩溃。 
欧盟会增进团结,签署一项更统一的条约(如果不扩大欧盟的军事力量的话),以应对失去美国的损失、俄罗斯日益增长的威胁和大规模移民。 
美国只剩下几个永远怀疑美国的朋友:以色列;沙特阿拉伯,也许加拿大、英国和澳大利亚会重新调整世界秩序。 我想不到其他任何国家了。 

Duncan Cairncross,退休工程师 
What would happen if USA nuked Iran?
Iran would be hurt - people would be killed
The Iranian people would become firmly in the hands of the Mullahs for another couple of generations
The USA would now have a much more numerous and secular enemy - the Persians
Oils supplies would be squeezed off - most of the world would condemn the US action and support Iran
Iran would immediately go all out to acquire nuclear weapons - the only way that the USA would be able to prevent that from happening would be by occupying Iran
US forces occupying Iran would suffer very high casualty levels - more like Vietnam than Iraq
And the Iranian government in exile would still acquire nuclear weaponsI would NOT want to live in Washington

如果美国用核武器攻击伊朗会发生什么? 
伊朗会受到伤害,人民会被杀害 
伊朗人民将在毛拉的统治下再过几代。 
美国将会有一个数量更多、更世俗化的敌人——波斯人 
石油供应将受到挤压——世界大多数国家将谴责美国的行动,并支持伊朗 
伊朗将立即全力以赴获得核武器——美国能够阻止这种事情发生的唯一方法就是占领伊朗 
占领伊朗的美军伤亡人数将非常高——更像越南战争那样,而不是伊拉克战争的情况那样 
流亡的伊朗政府仍然会获得核武器 
我也将不想住在华盛顿了 

Den Valdron
Then America wins. Sort of.
Hundreds of thousands or millions of people die
NATO will be over. US Troops will not be welcome in Europe or Asia. Americans won’t be safe anywhere in the middle east. North Korea will never give up its Nuclear Weapons or Missiles. A lot of countries may decide that they need to get their own nuclear deterrants really damned quick. There will be a run on the dollar. A lot of countries will dump their American dollars. American economy is going to go into a major tailspin.

美国将会胜利。 在某种程度上说。 
数以百万计的人将会死亡。 
北约将被解散。 美国军队在欧洲和亚洲将不受欢迎。 美国人在中东的任何地方都不会安全。 朝鲜永远不会放弃进行核武器或导弹实验。 许多国家可能会下决定,他们需要尽快获得自己的核武器。 美元将会遭到挤兑。 许多国家将抛售美元。 美国经济将陷入严重的混乱。 

Brandon Cammon
The U.S president is thrown out of office and charged with a war crime.
Iran will permanently hate the U.S and try to launch 1 at them when they get the chance.
Russia will back Iran and China won’t get involved
NATO will kick the U.S out of their alliance
U.N will vote for the removal of their arsenal
Sanctions will be against them
Japan & South Korea kick the U.S out of their alliance
U.S becomes a worldwide pariah
Oil trade stops from Iran

美国总统将会被赶下台,并被指控犯有战争罪。 
伊朗将永远憎恨美国。当他们有机会时,伊朗会试着向美国发起攻击。 
俄罗斯将支持伊朗,中国不会介入。 
北约联盟将踢除美国。 
联合国将投票赞成撤除美国的军火库 
制裁将针对美国 
日本和韩国将不再与美国结盟 
美国人将成为世界性的贱民 
伊朗停止石油贸易 

Vera Melnik, 自由职业者的翻译 
The US sending a nuke to Iran is one of those things in war that you just really don't wanna do. For morale reasons and for self preservation. For one, Iran can't defend itself against a nuclear war, they just aren't that equipped so they will have many dead and their government will be severely crippled. Secondly, many countries will view us differently and some may not forgive or forget such an act of unremorseful destruction. Sending a nuke should be a very last resort for any country. I wouldn't wish nuclear destruction on any of our enemies. Nukes are city destroyers and a whole city can't be all enemies.

在战争中,美国向伊朗发射核弹是你绝对不想让其发生的事情之一。 出于士气和自我保护的原因。 首先,伊朗无法抵御核战争,他们没有足够的装备,所以他们会有很多人死去,他们的政府会严重瘫痪。 其次,许多国家会以不同的眼光看待我们,有些国家可能不会原谅或忘记这种无情的破坏行为。 对任何国家来说,发射核武器都应该是最后的手段。 我不希望我们的任何敌人遭到核毁灭。 核武器可以摧毁整个城市,然而,整个城市的人不可能都是我们的敌人。 
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